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Manchester United blog. Opinion.

Monday 27 May 2013

Season Predictions: End of Season review


The football season is over for another year, but back in August the iThinkUnited season predictions were published on the blog. In January the blog underwent a mid-season revision of those predictions. Now at the end of the season, here is a review of how those predictions matched up to reality:

Cup Winners

COMMUNITY SHIELD:
August prediction: Manchester City
Mid-season prediction: N/A
Reality: Won by Manchester City
City did indeed win the community shield over ten-man Chelsea as a show of intent for the coming season.

CAPITAL ONE CUP:
August prediction: Manchester United
Mid-season prediction: Chelsea
Reality: Won by Swansea City
United unluckily fell to Chelsea in the fourth round, who themselves were knocked out by Swansea in the semi-final, with the Welsh team going on to claim the crown.

FA CUP:
August prediction: Liverpool
Mid-season prediction: Liverpool
Reality: Won by Wigan Athletic
A foolish bet on Liverpool was proved wrong as Wigan Athletic were the surprise winners.

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE:
August prediction: Real Madrid
Mid-season prediction: Real Madrid
Reality: Won by Bayern Munich
Even Jose Mourinho still can’t weave his magic for Madrid in Europe. Madrid were knocked out by Borussia Dortmund in the semi-finals, who succumbed to the impressive Bayern Munich in the final.

Premier League

CHAMPIONS:
August prediction: Manchester United
Mid-season prediction: Manchester United
Reality: Won by Manchester United
United’s unassailable points lead at the top of the table made this one of the dominant title wins.

TOP FOUR:
August prediction: 2-City, 3-Arsenal, 4-Chelsea
Mid-season prediction: 2-City, 3-Arsenal, 4-Chelsea
Reality: 2-City , 3-Chelsea , 4-Arsenal
Just a couple of points away from reality in the prediction. Nevertheless, the predicted top four did become reality.

RELEGATED:
August prediction: Southampton, Aston Villa, Reading
Mid-season prediction: Southampton, QPR, Reading
Reality: QPR, Reading, Wigan
Wigan almost looked like pulling off the great escape, but in the end were dragged down along with QPR and Reading.

PLAYER OF THE YEAR:
August prediction: Nani
Mid-season prediction: Gareth Bale
Reality: Gareth Bale
Whilst you can’t doubt Nani had the potential to be player of the season, he couldn’t have been further from the award by May. By far the worst prediction of the lot, Nani has had a torrid season. Gareth Bale’s enormous impact on Tottenham secured him the award ahead of Robin Van Persie and Juan Mata.

TOP SCORER:
August prediction: Wayne Rooney
Mid-season prediction: Robin van Persie
Reality: Robin van Persie
A late suspension for Luis Suarez meant Van Persie could go on with ease to become the season’s top scorer for the second year in a row.

Other Predictions
BEST SIGNING:
August prediction: Eden Hazard
Mid-season prediction: Michu
Reality: Robin van Persie
Hazard, Michu and Van Persie have all been fantastic signings, as have the likes of Moussa Dembele for Tottenham and Santi Cazorla for Arsenal. Van Persie’s impact on United’s title win just edges him to victory in this category however.

SURPRISE TEAM:
August prediction: Fulham
Mid-season prediction: Fulham
Reality: West Ham United
To call Fulham the real surprise team of the year would be wrong. A poor finish to the season leaves some big questions at Craven Cottage. The ‘surprise team’ section was meant in a positive sense, and therefore the impressive final positioning of recently promoted West Ham United just about wins them the award.

FLOP TEAM:
August prediction: Newcastle United
Mid-season prediction: Newcastle United
Reality: Newcastle United
Never looking near their 5th place finish of last season, Newcastle have certainly flopped, and been lucky to narrowly avoid relegation.

Results
Original Predictions: 3/12

Mid-season review: 4/11 (minus the community shield)

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