Season Predictions: End of Season review

The football season is over for another year, but back in August the iThinkUnited season predictions were published on the blog. In January the blog underwent a mid-season revision of those predictions. Now at the end of the season, here is a review of how those predictions matched up to reality:

Cup Winners

COMMUNITY SHIELD:

August prediction: Manchester City

Mid-season prediction: N/A

Reality: Won by Manchester City

City did indeed win the community shield over ten-man Chelsea as a show of intent for the coming season.

CAPITAL ONE CUP:

August prediction: Manchester United

Mid-season prediction: Chelsea

Reality: Won by Swansea City

United unluckily fell to Chelsea in the fourth round, who themselves were knocked out by Swansea in the semi-final, with the Welsh team going on to claim the crown.

FA CUP:

August prediction: Liverpool

Mid-season prediction: Liverpool

Reality: Won by Wigan Athletic

A foolish bet on Liverpool was proved wrong as Wigan Athletic were the surprise winners.

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE:

August prediction: Real Madrid

Mid-season prediction: Real Madrid

Reality: Won by Bayern Munich

Even Jose Mourinho still can’t weave his magic for Madrid in Europe. Madrid were knocked out by Borussia Dortmund in the semi-finals, who succumbed to the impressive Bayern Munich in the final.

Premier League

CHAMPIONS:

August prediction: Manchester United

Mid-season prediction: Manchester United

Reality: Won by Manchester United

United’s unassailable points lead at the top of the table made this one of the dominant title wins.

TOP FOUR:

August prediction: 2-City, 3-Arsenal, 4-Chelsea

Mid-season prediction: 2-City, 3-Arsenal, 4-Chelsea

Reality: 2-City , 3-Chelsea , 4-Arsenal

Just a couple of points away from reality in the prediction. Nevertheless, the predicted top four did become reality.

RELEGATED:
August prediction: Southampton, Aston Villa, Reading

Mid-season prediction: Southampton, QPR, Reading

Reality: QPR, Reading, Wigan

Wigan almost looked like pulling off the great escape, but in the end were dragged down along with QPR and Reading.

PLAYER OF THE YEAR:

August prediction: Nani

Mid-season prediction: Gareth Bale

Reality: Gareth Bale

Whilst you can’t doubt Nani had the potential to be player of the season, he couldn’t have been further from the award by May. By far the worst prediction of the lot, Nani has had a torrid season. Gareth Bale’s enormous impact on Tottenham secured him the award ahead of Robin Van Persie and Juan Mata.

TOP SCORER:

August prediction: Wayne Rooney

Mid-season prediction: Robin van Persie

Reality: Robin van Persie

A late suspension for Luis Suarez meant Van Persie could go on with ease to become the season’s top scorer for the second year in a row.

Other Predictions

BEST SIGNING:

August prediction: Eden Hazard

Mid-season prediction: Michu

Reality: Robin van Persie

Hazard, Michu and Van Persie have all been fantastic signings, as have the likes of Moussa Dembele for Tottenham and Santi Cazorla for Arsenal. Van Persie’s impact on United’s title win just edges him to victory in this category however.

SURPRISE TEAM:

August prediction: Fulham

Mid-season prediction: Fulham

Reality: West Ham United

To call Fulham the real surprise team of the year would be wrong. A poor finish to the season leaves some big questions at Craven Cottage. The ‘surprise team’ section was meant in a positive sense, and therefore the impressive final positioning of recently promoted West Ham United just about wins them the award.

FLOP TEAM:

August prediction: Newcastle United

Mid-season prediction: Newcastle United

Reality: Newcastle United

Never looking near their 5^th place finish of last season, Newcastle have certainly flopped, and been lucky to narrowly avoid relegation.

Results

Original Predictions: 3/12

Mid-season review: 4/11 (minus the community shield)

Analysis: West Bromwich Albion 5 Manchester United 5

Premier League, Sunday 19^th May 2013

The last game of the Premier League season for Manchester United ended in an astonishing 5-5 scoreline. Shinji Kagawa, Alex Büttner, Robin van Persie and Javier Hernandez all scored, whilst United were also gifted an own goal. A mostly commanding performance turned into a leaky shambles late on that meant Sir Alex Ferguson’s last ever game in charge didn’t finish in a victory. Here’s some analysis:

Wing-backs

A means of attacking success, particularly in the first-half, came from United’s wing-backs. Lining up in a 4-1-2-1-2 (diamond) formation, there was a particular reliance on the advancing full-backs to provide width, and Antonio Valencia and Alex Büttner duly obliged. There was tangible evidence of this success through a goal for Büttner and some assists for Valencia. West Brom were preoccupied with the loaded threat United were providing in the centre, and struggled to deal with this extra wide threat.

Defensive shambles

This game was somewhat of a defensive shambles, as United let a 5-2 lead slip in the last 10 minutes. The introduction of the retiring Paul Scholes was a contributing factor, with the Englishmen struggling to keep up with the pace of the game in any defensive capacity. United’s midfield display also slowly deteriorated throughout the game as a whole, providing less protection to the back four. Tom Cleverley and Anderson tired, whilst Michael Carrick’s influence waned after a commanding start. The back four, aside from the impressive Jonny Evans, all had poor defensive games in which they struggled to cope with attacks from the Baggies at times. Should this match had mattered then this defensive shambles would be a worry. As it is, it was less than ideal, but nothing more.

Going Forward

United now face a summer of change as David Moyes takes over as manager, something that will have an unsettling effect on pre-season for the first time in 26 years. The likes of David de Gea, Rio Ferdinand, Michael Carrick, Robin van Persie and others can be pleased with their season, whilst the likes of Antonio Valencia and Anders Lindegaard will need to improve for next year. United’s next competitive game will be on 11^th August in the Community Shield.

Ratings

[4-1-2-1-2]: Lindegaard-5, Valencia-6, Jones-5, Evans-7, Büttner-6, Carrick-7, Anderson-6, Cleverley-6, Kagawa-7, Hernandez-7, Van Persie-7

*Man of the match

(Giggs-6, Scholes-5, Ferdinand-6)

End of Season Review

Manchester United’s season has undoubtedly been a success in that the Premier League trophy was reclaimed. There were disappointments in the cup competitions, but this was not to overshadow the achievement of United’s 20^th league title.

The first half of the season consisted of a series of thrilling comebacks. United secured themselves defensively from thereon as they went on to win the title. The season ended with sadness as Sir Alex Ferguson and Paul Scholes retired, but there is plenty to look forward to in the future.

Below are the iThinkUnited end of season awards:

Players

These awards are based on the iThinkUnited player ratings system (see below).

BEST PLAYER:

Rio Ferdinand

A model of consistency and excellence, Rio Ferdinand wins the player of the season award. David de Gea, Rafael, Michael Carrick, Jonny Evans and Robin van Persie all follow him very closely.

WORST PLAYER:

Alex Büttner

Appears harsh on the surface, but mainly average performances combined with a small amount of appearances mean Büttner’s average rating is the worst of any United player with over 10 appearances. Antonio Valencia and Nani are very close behind.

BEST TEAM:

De Gea, Rafael, Ferdinand, Evans, Evra, Carrick, Cleverley, Welbeck, Rooney, van Persie, Hernandez

Matches

BEST MATCH:

Manchester City 2 Manchester United 3

There were some extraordinary matches over the course of the season, but this Manchester derby win clinched in the final minute has to go as the most dramatic and fantastic match of the season. Had United beaten Real Madrid then perhaps that would’ve topped it for sheer atmosphere and occasion. Oh what could’ve been.

WORST MATCH:

Manchester United 0 CFR Cluj 1

In the context of the season, United have performed worse than this game, but if you had to miss one United game this year, it would be this. A dead-rubber as far as United were concerned, they never got going, and eventually lost to the Romanians. As boring as they come.

Goals

BEST GOAL SCORED:

Robin van Persie v Aston Villa

This goal was truly magnificent. On a night that United sealed the Premier League title, Robin van Persie’s hat-trick felt almost like he intended to remind the Reds who they had to thank for the title win. A sumptuous lofted pass from Wayne Rooney was hit first time by Van Persie’s left-foot, and into the back of the net. Wonderful.

WORST GOAL CONCEDED:

Adam le Fondre for Reading

There are unfortunately many contenders for this award, but after weeks of lessons not learnt, calamitous defending at the Madejski stadium was hard to believe. Lost at a set-piece, Le Fondre will rarely score an easier goal.

Moments

MOST ENTHRALLING MOMENT:

Ferguson’s crowd rouser

Old Trafford was rocking on March 5^th. United were heading for the Champions League quarter-finals at the expense of European heavyweights Real Madrid. It was a truly special night. Until Nani was then sent off. We all know what happened next, but the moment of exhilaration experienced when Sir Alex Ferguson attempted to rouse the crowd in order to lift the team was an extraordinary moment. Old Trafford has never been louder. Possibly.

MOST DISAPPOINTING MOMENT:

Nani’s red card

With every high comes a low. United were set to beat Real Madrid and everything felt like it was meant to be; it was one of those special nights. It was probably all down to Nani’s red card that the script wasn’t obeyed that night. A heart-breaker for any United fan, and a final lost chance for Ferguson in Europe.

TOP MISCALLENOUS MOMENT:

Sir Alex Ferguson’s retirement

Hardly a ‘best’ moment for anyone, but this has to be top in terms of pure magnitude and reaction to an event. Tears were privately shed by many as Ferguson announced his retirement. The country reacted and applauded to a magnificent man and manager, the likes of which will never be seen again.

iThinkUnited Player Ratings 2012/2013

This table is calculated using the average ratings for each Manchester United player this season. The ratings were given after each match.

Players to have achieved less than ten appearances have been left out in order  to provide more accurate ratings for the season (i.e. Federico Macheda’s average of 5.6 is irrelevant considering he only made three substitute appearances this season.) It is also important to remember that players with many substitute appearances will often have had less time on the pitch to make a mark, and therefore will be nearer to the average ‘6’ rating.

PLAYERS:

Name                   Position    Appearances                                     Average rating

                                             (Including as substitute. Substitute in brackets)

Rio Ferdinand                 DEF                35 (3)                                                                   6.914…

David de Gea                 GK                  41                                                                         6.902…

Rafael da Silva               DEF                40 (2)                                                                   6.85

Jonny Evans                 DEF                29 (2)                                                                    6.793…

Michael Carrick             MID                46 (4)                                                                     6.783…

Robin van Persie          ATT                48 (8)                                                                    6.771…

Nemanja Vidic               DEF                23 (1)                                                                     6.739…

Phil Jones                     DEF                 24 (4)                                                                    6.667…

Javier Hernandez         ATT                36 (13)                                                                   6.639…

Patrice Evra                 DEF                 42                                                                           6.595…

Tom Cleverley              MID                32 (4)                                                                      6.594…

Wayne Rooney            ATT                37 (6)                                                                     6.568…

Chris Smalling              DEF                22 (5)                                                                      6.5

Anderson                     MID               26 (9)                                                                      6.5

Shinji Kagawa              ATT               26 (4)                                                                      6.5

Danny Welbeck           ATT               40 (17)                                                                    6.5

Darren Fletcher           MID                10 (3)                                                                       6.4

Ryan Giggs                  MID                32 (13)                                                                     6.281…

Ashley Young              MID                23 (5)                                                                       6.261…

Paul Scholes                 MID                20 (11)                                                                    6.2                

Anders Lindegaard     GK                  13                                                                          6.154…

Nani                             MID                 21 (5)                                                                      6.048…

Antonio Valencia         MID                40 (11)                                                                     6.025

Alex Büttner                DEF                13 (1)                                                                       6

Analysis: Manchester United 2 Swansea City 1

Premier League, Sunday 12^th May 2013

This match was a truly special occasion, but not just for the football. Manchester United were presented with the Premier League trophy as Sir Alex Ferguson presided over his final game at Old Trafford. Javier Hernandez gave United the lead, before Rio Ferdinand scored a late winner after Swansea had equalised. Here’s some thoughts from the day:

 The Ginger Prince

Sir Alex Ferguson is not the only one retiring this summer-Paul Scholes is also, at his second attempt. The English midfielder played for the first time since January against Swansea in what his likely to be his last game. Evidence of his forward bursts from yesteryear, and his accomplished passing, were both on show. There were also a few typical, but fair crunching tackles from the ‘Ginger Prince’. Scholes also showed why it is probably his time to retire though with a lacklustre display physically. Conserving his energy, Scholes was of little use defensively and often let Swansea players run past him with ease. Scholes is, and also will remain, a legend. The time has come for this great servant to say goodbye, but Manchester United fans will never forget the memories he has left behind.

Fergie Psychology

Even on the day of his official farewell, Ferguson still managed to demonstrate how his psychology has helped United win so many titles. In his speech, the Scot reminded the players of the expectations placed upon them, and how they must not let themselves down. This was a great motivator and reminder, and perhaps gave a glimpse into his pre-match and half-time team talks. After the game Ferguson also hinted to the disillusioned Wayne Rooney that if he was playing at his best he would’ve been more involved at times this season-another great example of a way to remind a player how good he can be, and a way to spur him on. United will certainly miss the wisdom and encouragement of Sir Alex.

Going Forward

Going forward Manchester United approach a new era, with the exits of Ferguson and Scholes and who knows who else. It was fitting that United should beat Swansea with a decent team display. Patrice Evra in particular had a marvellous game up and down the left side. United now go away to West Brom for their final game of the season; Ferguson’s last hurrah and the end of an era.

Ratings

[4-4-1-1]: De Gea-7, Jones-7, Ferdinand-7, Vidic-7, Evra-8*, Kagawa-7, Carrick-7, Scholes-6, Welbeck-6, Van Persie-7, Hernandez-7

*Man of the match

(Anderson-7, Valencia-6, Giggs-6)

Even his retirement was the best

When Sir Alex Ferguson announced his retirement a few days ago, it was hard to escape the emotion and drama of the occasion. The greatest manager of all time was to call it a day. But even in his retirement, this unrivalled icon of the footballing world looks to have displayed one of his famous attributes.

The man who managed a club famous for their comebacks, famous for their relentless pursuit of victory in the face of a ticking clock, had got it spot on with his timing again. Fergie’s time was his right time.

Escaping the cynical, and quite frankly disturbing thought, that the great Scot was pushed out of his managerial seat by Manchester United’s reviled owners, Ferguson’s retirement schedule appears almost impeccable. The only sense in which his retirement wouldn’t be perfect is if he were to stay on another season and win the treble. But ‘ifs’ and ‘buts’ about the future are no good in this game. Only the reality matters. And Ferguson seems to have got another mammoth decision spot on.

It is hard to entertain the thought that retirement prior to this summer would’ve been sensible. Anything pre-2000 would’ve been rash. Ferguson had brought the club up from the ashes and transformed them into a league-dominating and then treble-winning phenomenon. Only after that particular summit could it be said that perhaps the Scot have achieved all he could.

And so his retirement plan came in 2002. But what a relief he didn’t call it a day. The club had reached a peak and was on a (small) downward spiral. The treble-winning side was dismantling without any clear youthful era breaking through. Yes Ferguson had achieved great things, but to go then may have destabilised the club for many years.

His eventual, and remarkable, rebuilding of the squad into another European-conquering force could’ve signalled another retirement window for Ferguson. 2008 was a stellar year. But what if Ferguson had gone? Cristiano Ronaldo and Carlos Tevez were soon to depart, Wayne Rooney was soon to voice concerns, Rio Ferdinand and Nemanja Vidic were beginning to suffer long-term injuries, and several older players were on the brink of retirement. Ferguson’s exit could’ve coincided with the utter dismantling of a great squad. To retire then could’ve been destroying.

What about since? It is fair to say that no year post-2008 has been vintage. But United have very slowly and steadily rebuilt into what is now a thriving squad. Over time youth has been bought and promoted. The likes of Tom Cleverley, Danny Welbeck, Rafael, Javier Hernandez, Shinji Kagawa, Jonny Evans, Phil Jones and David de Gea could be instrumental in the coming years. Meanwhile the core of Michael Carrick, Rio Ferdinand, Nemanja Vidic, Wayne Rooney, and now Robin van Persie are the backbone of this evolving squad.

Even to leave last summer would’ve left a young team with little winning experience and a long road ahead of them. But the season of 2012/2013 has seen an immense progression from Manchester United. Ferguson leaves a team of established champions, with all the ingredients and youthful zest to go on and dominate.

To those who classify Ferguson’s great teams, I would say there are four. The title-winning side of the early sides characterised by Cantona, the treble-winning side, the 2008-conquerors, and now a fourth team; a fourth team he has moulded and tutored, but will now have the potential to reach their ultimate pinnacle in a new era.

A hip operation and more family-time await Sir Alex, but the state he has left Manchester United in could not be more perfect. A culture of family, youth, stability, winners, and a squad bursting with potential and ability remains in place despite his parting. A better time for the Scot to bow out there never was, and probably never would’ve been. Even in retirement, he has proved the master.

Analysis: Manchester United 0 Chelsea 1

Premier League, Sunday 5^th May 2013

Manchester United suffered a frustrating loss to Chelsea in a dull game at Old Trafford on Sunday. Juan Mata scored the only goal late on before Rafael was sent off for a kick on the infuriating David Luiz. This game will not live long in the memory of many Manchester United fans, and showcased an edgeless team performance. Here’s some analysis:

Positional confusion

There was some notable confusion between Jonny Evans and Phil Jones at times during the match. Phil Jones was playing in the defensive midfielder position, aiming to halt Chelsea counter-attacks and break up their play. It is a position Michael Carrick and Darren Fletcher have already operated in against the Blues this season. The frequent, visible in-game debates between Evans and Jones however showed some positional error between the two of them. Jones would often leave the high ball for Evans behind him to deal with, whilst Evans would be looking to sweep up the play after Jones had dealt with the ball. Reasons for this could have simply been miscommunication, but also the fact that Evans was playing on the right side of defence which is different to his usual left side. Jones was also probably confused after having played central defence and central midfield in recent weeks; he never seemed to comfortably adapt to playing in between the two against Chelsea.

On the fringe

After limited opportunities this side of Christmas, Anders Lindegaard, Tom Cleverley, and Anderson all featured in the starting line-up, with neither particularly impressing. Anderson was at times his usual driving presence, but again showed his liabilities by not getting ball-side when Chelsea counter-attacked. The Brazilian also failed to complete 90 minutes, something he has only down an incredible 18 times in his six seasons at United. Tom Cleverley was often tidy, but largely ineffective. He is a good energetic foil for Michael Carrick, and usually offers dynamism in possession, but he was largely off the pace against Chelsea, something that could have been expected after limited opportunities recently. Anders Lindegaard showed his inferiority in terms of distribution to David de Gea, and an overall decent performance was perhaps marred by conceding late on to a goal that some better goalkeepers would have saved.

Going Forward

This result meant United’s poor record against Chelsea continues, now having only won one from five against them this season. None of United’s fringe players coming into the team particularly excelled in an understandably drab encounter. The Reds will now be looking to give a good account of themselves as champions in their final two games.

Ratings

[4-1-4-1]: Lindegaard-6, Rafael-7*, Evans-6, Vidic-6, Evra-6, Jones-6, Anderson-6, Cleverley-6, Valencia-4, Giggs-6, Van Persie-6

*Man of the match

(Rooney-6, Büttner-6, Hernandez-6)

Analysis: Arsenal 1 Manchester United 1

Premier League, Sunday 28^th April 2013

Arsenal formed a guard of honour to recognise Manchester United’s new champions status prior to kick-off on Sunday, but were expectedly competitive on the pitch. The Gunners took the lead after two minutes with an offside goal, but Robin van Persie equalised with a penalty. United probably had the better chances to win it, but a poor final ball often let them down. Here’s some analysis:

The finest collection of centre-backs…

Do Manchester United have the finest collection of centre-backs in the Premier League? Almost certainly. Chris Smalling, England’s first choice, is only fifth choice at United. Rio Ferdinand and Nemanja Vidic hold the key to experience, if lacking in some pace. Jonny Evans and Phil Jones are the increasingly commanding youths. Three of these five started against Arsenal. Phil Jones played in midfield, and offered some important defensive work in halting the Arsenal midfield advances. Evans and Ferdinand were authoritative and calm at the back, sniffing out numerous chances. Evans form in his last two games has been exceptional considering his time out injured. Ferdinand’s performance reeked of class, best demonstrated by the numerous times he tricked an Arsenal player in order to bring the ball out of defence. A worthy inclusion in PFA team of the year.

Wing concerns continue

United’s wingers did nothing to improve their current form against Arsenal. Nani was given a rare start, and performed ok, but nothing more. There was some occasional misguided decision-making, although the Portugese player did have the air of a constant threat. His likely departure in the summer will be a disappointment. He was not brilliant versus Arsenal, but still the better of the two wide players.

United’s other winger, Antonio Valencia, continued his season-long downward spiral against Arsenal. Some recent good performances (namely versus Aston Villa) have provided hope that he may be back on the upward track. However he was extremely disappointing against Arsenal in terms of his final ball. Perhaps his positioning and movement was good, but his crossing was well off par and gave the United players looking to get onto the end no chance. United’s wingers will require these last few games of the season in order to start reversing perceptions about their poor form.

Going Forward

This draw against Arsenal ended United’s hopes of reaching a record points total this season. There was some understandably complacent play, but overall this was a decent showing from the newly-crowned champions. United now play Chelsea in a pivotal game for the Blues, hence another strong Reds line-up can be expected.

 Ratings

[4-4-2]: De Gea-7, Rafael-6, Ferdinand-7*, Evans-7, Evra-7, Valencia-5, Carrick-7, Jones-6, Nani-6, Rooney-6, Van Persie-6

*Man of the match

(Giggs-6, Anderson-6, Hernandez-6)

Analysis: Manchester United 3 Aston Villa 0

Premier League, Monday 22^nd April 2013

Champions. Manchester United blew away Aston Villa three nil to reclaim the Premier League title on Monday evening. Robin van Persie scored the three goals in a stunning first-half hat-trick that was complemented by several other good performances, before a sedate (in terms of football, rather than atmosphere) second-half. Here’s some analysis on the game:

High line helps United

Aston Villa’s high defensive line appears to have been a suicidal tactic. United started the game with energy and purpose with the intent of claiming the title, and Villa suffered. Van Persie’s movement exposed the Villa high line, and the likes of Shinji Kagawa also thrived with several good through balls. United’s wide players were also given the space and opportunity to run at players, no doubt helped by Villa’s high line.

Young generation

In light of the title triumph, Sir Alex Ferguson highlighted the young crop of players he has at his exposal who will no doubt be the backbone of United for years to come. Danny Welbeck, Chris Smalling and Tom Cleverley are three of those players not to start against Villa, but several others did, showing their potential. Phil Jones was masterful at centre-back, one rash challenge on Benteke aside, he demonstrated calmness and an excellent reading of the game. Jonny Evans was authoritative and helped sniff out numerous Villa opportunities. Shinji Kagawa displayed his appreciation for space, something that will be invaluable if he can affect the game in the final third more. And Rafael and David de Gea, whilst having reasonably quiet games, were solid throughout as they begin to wind down from excellent ‘coming of age’ seasons.

Going Forward

Manchester United’s 20^th league title is a sweet, sweet triumph, and the manner of victory against Aston Villa was a demonstration of the hope and potential for many more years to come. United now have four games before the end of season, with which they can accumulate a record points total.

Ratings

[4-4-1-1]: De Gea-7, Rafael-7, Jones-9, Evans-7, Evra-7, Valencia-7, Carrick-7, Rooney-7, Giggs-7, Kagawa-7, Van Persie-9*

(Welbeck-6)

*Man of the match

Analysis: West Ham United 2 Manchester United 2

Premier League, Wednesday 17^th August 2013

Manchester United drew 2-2 at Upton Park in a hard-fought game on Wednesday evening. Antonio Valencia and Robin van Persie scored the goals as United came from behind twice. Shinji Kagawa also deserves a significant mention for two good assists. Here’s the analysis:

Players didn’t settle in the system

United lined-up in a 4-1-4-1 shape, with Michael Carrick in front of the defence, Wayne Rooney and Phil Jones in front of him, Kagawa and Valencia wide, and Van Persie up top. The two most disappointing players on the pitch were arguably Rooney and Jones, quite possibly as a consequence of the formation. Jones, a defender by nature, looked largely uncomfortable in a forward midfield position, and offered little in attacking terms. Rooney, who one may expect to be more adept in the position than Jones, was equally if not more disappointing.

There were arguably three reasons for Rooney’s poor performance. Firstly, there is no escaping he simply wasn’t at his best. Despite brief glimpses of his quality, Rooney’s touch and movement was sloppy, and he wasn’t performing to his highest level. Secondly, Kagawa trod on Rooney’s toes, metaphorically speaking. The Japanese player has a tendency to cut inside a lot when playing on the left, and therefore often took up the space Rooney may have taken up in midfield, on what is a compact Upton Park pitch. The final reason for Rooney’s poor performance may have been a lack of directive. When playing in midfield this season he has either thrived in a free role with plenty of space (like against Stoke) or with specific instructions in a tighter game (like to combine with Valencia against Chelsea.) Rooney appeared to be lacking in specific instructions against West Ham, and was therefore unsettled on a crowded pitch.

Deep defence

There is certainly reason to suggest United defended too deep at Upton Park, thus inviting pressure. If any two players in the United squad can soak up pressure it’s certainly Rio Ferdinand and Nemanja Vidic. Both were however duly unsettled at times, and perhaps a more authoritative approach would’ve gained United more control. There is of course justification for a deep defence. Ferdinand and Vidic are certainly not the quickest duo around meaning a high line is risky, whilst the compact nature of the Upton Park pitch means press too high, and your midfielders get squeezed with no room to work.

Michael Carrick was assigned to work in between the lines of United’s central defenders and the rest of the team, which he did relatively well, but the abject performances of Rooney and Jones in front of him meant his work was often fruitless. Had United pressed higher up the pitch then they firstly they may have relieved some of the pressure off their defence, and secondly may have been able to resort to a two man midfield allowing for greater attacking presence and release on Wayne Rooney. Who knows whether it would’ve worked, but there was certainly room for improvement.

Going Forward

United worked hard for a point at Upton Park, and despite an average display, the draw was a decent result considering the fired-up nature of West Ham's performance. Shinji Kagawa showed some of his superb potential and technical quality with two assists, but gave another reminder of some of the wide potency United lose when he comes in field (arguably all too often.) David de Gea had a commanding game, whilst Valencia put in a long overdue good performance. If results go United’s way, they can win the title on Monday evening. The Reds will certainly be looking to return to winning ways at least when Aston Villa come to town.

Ratings

[4-1-4-1]: De Gea-7*, Rafael-6, Ferdinand-5, Vidic-6, Evra-7, Valencia-7, Carrick-7, Jones-5, Rooney-5, Kagawa-7, Van Persie-6

(Giggs-6, Hernandez-7)

*Man of the match

Analysis: Stoke City 0 Manchester United 2

Premier League, Sunday 14^th April 2013

Manchester United moved one step closer to the Premier League title with an assured win at Stoke City on Sunday. Michael Carrick opened the scoring within four minutes, before Robin van Persie ended his goal drought with a second-half penalty. Below are some thoughts from the game:

Jones coming of age

Phil Jones followed up his man of the match performance against Manchester City with another assured display against Stoke City, this time at right-back. Jones made four interceptions, more than any other player on the pitch, and his good play on the ball was best evidenced when he started the move leading to the penalty.

After a thrilling start to his United career, injuries and varying form have slowed his meteoric rise. However the 20 year old has recently been displaying his qualities on an impressively consistent basis, and is showing good assurance for one so young. Good games in all three of his common positions at times this season have highlighted the value of his versatility. His right-back performance against Stoke cannot be underestimated also for the usefulness in terms of bringing competition to keep improving Rafael.

Rooney in midfield

Wayne Rooney lined up alongside Michael Carrick in the centre of midfield and gave a glimpse into what could be a different role for the Englishman. Rooney impressed with his range of passing, something probably aided by the absence of much pressure from Stoke. There were some wayward passes, something that may prove more costly in midfield than up front, and that is something Rooney will need to be wary of should he play deeper more often. The occasional foray forward, bursting from deep into attack, gave an insight into some of the benefits Rooney could bring to midfield, and his energy and dynamism would certainly not go a miss. This was most perfectly typified by Rooney's advanced contribution in the move leading to the penalty. Whether he has the discipline and midfield expertise to play there regularly against better teams than Stoke though remains open to debate.

Going Forward

A good team performance was United was the perfect cure to last week’s defeat at the hands of Manchester City. Rooney in midfield gave some food for thought, but good games from regular performers Carrick, Ferdinand and Vidic should not go unnoticed either. With six games of the season remaining, the Reds next face West Ham United on Wednesday evening.

Ratings

[4-4-2]: De Gea-7, Jones-7, Ferdinand-7, Vidic-7, Evra-7, Valencia-5, Carrick-7*, Rooney-7, Kagawa-6, Hernandez-6, van Persie-7

(Welbeck-6)

*Man of the match

Analysis: Manchester United 1 Manchester City 2

Premier League, Monday 8^th April 2013

Manchester United succumbed to a home defeat against their rivals City in what was billed as a rather irrelevant derby. A Vincent Kompany own goal was sandwiched in between two City strikes as the team in blue were better on the day. Here’s some analysis:

Space for City

United simply afforded too much space for City to play in. In recent games against Chelsea, United have successfully shut off spaces in between the lines, and prevented Chelsea from creating anything threatening. Against City however, United afforded the opposition far too much space in between defence and midfield, allowing players like David Silva and Carlos Tevez to thrive. Had United been more forthright in their pressing and positioning they may have grasped more control on the game, as at the Etihad earlier this season. Only in the second half, when United pushed higher up the pitch, did they have any significant control on the game.

Imbalance

In hindsight, there appeared to be an imbalance to United’s play. Despite being relatively poor in possession, Ashley Young added defensive cover and width for United on the left hand side, which resulted in some fruitless forays for City on that side. Elsewhere on the pitch however United were disjointed. Danny Welbeck was full of running on the right, but his lack of natural winger tendencies meant reduced options for Wayne Rooney in particular when in possession. Ryan Giggs was also overrun in midfield, and his insistent attempts at long balls often gifted possession away too often. A tidier possession game with a more natural shape may have helped United better, something like at the Etihad earlier in the season with Tom Cleverley and Antonio Valencia in place of Giggs and Welbeck. Valencia looked lively when come on, a sign of what may have been.

Going Forward

This was a frustrating performance from United, particularly as it was a second successive home defeat to their Manchester rivals. It was however not the terrible performance that many have made out, merely not good enough for a highly-charged derby game. In the general scheme of things though it should matter little, with United remaining twelve points clear at the top of the table. Good motivation, work-rate and wise use of squad should see the Red Devils over the line within the next few weeks, but too many more disjointed performances like this one, and it could be a nail-biting few weeks.

Ratings

[4-4-1-1]: De Gea-6, Rafael-6, Ferdinand-6, Jones-8*, Evra-6, Welbeck-6, Carrick-7, Giggs-5, Young-5, Rooney-6, van Persie-7

(Valencia-6, Hernandez-6, Kagawa-6)

*Man of the match

Analysis: Chelsea 1 Manchester United 0

FA Cup, Monday 1^st April 2013

Manchester United visited Stamford Bridge for their FA Cup quarter-final replay with high hopes of getting nearer to a domestic double. In all truth however United have not been at their best since their Champions League exit, and limped to a 1-0 defeat in this game. Here’s some brief thoughts from the match:

Thoughts                                                          

The usual analysis section on this regular post is unfortunately not available due to a lack of concentration is watching the game, and the stupidly late release of this post. Some thoughts however point to United’s limp end to a season that was dealt a blow in the Champions League that the Reds haven ‘t recovered from. Tactically, United appear to be resorting to a more conservative approach in games that results in grinding out narrow victories, probably the right idea considering the lack of spark in United’s play recently. Let’s hope they can move on to safely secure the title now!

Going Forward

United now need to respond by moving forward to clinch a 20^th Premier League title. First up is an exciting match with Manchester City, but ultimately the long run is more important in United working towards the title triumph. The performance against Chelsea meanwhile will raise some interesting questions about the future of Nani after a poor performance, whilst Tom Cleverley appears to be waning after a good two thirds of the season.

Ratings

[4-4-1-1]: De Gea-7, Valencia-7, Smalling-6, Ferdinand-6, Evra-6, Nani-3, Jones-6, Carrick-6, Cleverley-5, Welbeck-7*, Hernandez-6

(van Persie-6, Giggs-6, Young-6)

*Man of the match

Analysis: Sunderland 0 Manchester United 1

Premier League, Saturday 30^th March 2013

Another win, another clean sheet, and on marched Manchester United towards what now looks like an inevitable 20^th title. This was United’s 25^th win out of their 30 league games this season, a Premier League record. An own goal after good work from Robin van Persie in the first half proved decisive, and the Reds, in a blue kit, held on to a satisfying win. Here’s some analysis:

Defence

United’s sixth league clean sheet in a row was a demonstration of the recent new found defensive security. The Reds have only conceded three goals in eleven league matches since the Boxing Day thriller against Newcastle. As has been a recent theme, United established an early lead before inviting some pressure for the rest of the game, something the defence adequately coped with. Chris Smalling was perhaps the pick of the bunch with a towering and confident performance, but the efforts of De Gea, Vidic and Evans should not go unnoticed either. Even Alex Büttner at left-back had one of his better games, as he appeared to grow in confidence.

One particular nuance to United’s defending appeared to be an attempt to nullify Adam Johnson. Whilst sporadic in his form, Johnson is arguably the biggest threat in the Sunderland team on his day, and Sir Alex Ferguson and his team seemed to target him as the man to stop. When advancing on the left Ashley Young would track back well (making up for some of his errant forward play) and double up on Johnson with Büttner, meaning the winger had little room for manoeuvre. Similarly at other times, Michael Carrick could be seen offering support to a full-back when faced against Johnson. Stopping this particular threat no doubt contributed to United’s secure defensive display and Sunderland’s lack of clear-cut chances.

Combinations

An interesting aspect to the play against Sunderland, particularly in the more impressive first half, was some of United’s combination play. Anderson and Ashley Young showed their link-up ability with the latter often making good runs out wide enabling the Brazilian to spread the play-think back to Anderson’s goal against Reading earlier in the season as a demonstration of how well these two can work together.

Another combination of interest was Shinji Kagawa’s link-up play with those around him. Despite predictably fading late on, the Japanese artist had a good first half in which he would sometimes come deep to add extra men in midfield and control possession, when at other times he would advance behind the forward players in order to stretch the opposition. The technical quality of Kagawa is obvious, and it will be his intelligent movement and combinations with others that will really make him as a United player.

Going Forward

United’s inexorable march towards the Premier League title took another important step against Sunderland with a pleasing if not electric performance. The Reds’ attentions now turn to an FA Cup replay at Chelsea only 48 hours later, a match in which Ferguson is likely to make wholesale changes. Should United lose to Chelsea then the last couple of months of the season are likely to become nothing more than a steady walk towards the title.

Ratings

[4-4-1-1]: De Gea-6, Rafael-6, Smalling-8, Vidic-7, Büttner-7, Valencia-6, Anderson-6, Carrick-9*, Young-6, Kagawa-7, van Persie-7

(Evans-7, Welbeck-6, Cleverley-6)

*Man of the match

Analysis: Manchester United 1 Reading 0

Premier League, Saturday 16^th March 2013

Manchester United efficiently picked up three points in a drab affair against relegation-strugglers Reading. With the chance to extend their Premier League to a near unassailable six points, United got their necessary goal through Wayne Rooney and took their foot of the gas. Here’s some analysis from the match:

Front four

There was little to note tactically from this match; United often lacked movement and sharpness, perhaps because the match mattered relatively little after an earlier loss to rivals Manchester City. One tactical quirk though was the flexibility of the front four. Danny Welbeck in particular was a fluid forward, but any of the four were quick to cover the position vacated by another forward. It was a good display of positional flexibility and also responsibility between the players.

Robin van Persie spearheaded the attack, with Wayne Rooney behind him, Danny Welbeck right and Ashley Young left. Other than the spontaneous movements of any of the four, Welbeck and Young switched flanks midway through the first half. This was perhaps a sensible move as Young offered a more natural wide threat on the right with full-back Chris Smalling offering little going forward, however Young himself was not as productive as may have been expected in the end.

Response to the Madejski

In the reverse fixture earlier in the season United were torn apart at set-pieces and in the air, and Sir Alex Ferguson appeared keen to do something about this at Old Trafford. Chris Smalling came in for the tired Rafael at right-back, immediately adding a more secure aerial defender into the mix. Nemanja Vidic always played ahead of Jonny Evans, the Serbian no doubt chosen for his superb aerial ability and organisation, and always his leadership abilities with Patrice Evra not playing.

Going Forward

There was little excitement in this game, but United did enough to gain the three points. The Premier League appears all but won, although the Reds will need to be on their guard not to slip up in any of the coming games. An upcoming international break will give United a time to re-gather themselves before two quickfire games against Sunderland and Chelsea. The team selection against Sunderland may well be weakened as United prioritise the tough FA Cup replay away at Stamford Bridge.

Ratings

[4-2-3-1]: De Gea-6, Smalling-6, Ferdinand-7*, Vidic-7, Büttner-6, Anderson-6, Giggs-6, Welbeck-6, Rooney-7, Young-6, van Persie-6

(Carrick-6, Kagawa-6)

*Man of the match

Analysis: Manchester United 2 Chelsea 2

FA Cup, Sunday 10^th March 2013

This game can best be described as out of the ordinary for Manchester United. Javier Hernandez and Wayne Rooney ensured the Reds stormed into an early lead, but complacency and tiredness set in as Chelsea recovered to make a second half comeback, and were indeed lucky not to win. Here’s some analysis on the fixture:

Deep defence

Complacency was the theme of the day, as apart from some first-half moments United struggled to keep the ball in possession, a matter compounded by the fact the Reds did not win it back quickly. The reasons for this are arguably two-fold. Firstly, United’s emotional and physical exhaustion after recent exerts no doubt had its toll. Secondly, United’s defence was sat extremely deep, which invited problem after problem. It was perhaps the response to going 2-0 up, and a natural response that United began to sat deep. The defensive concentration and possession retention however was not on show to warrant such a tactical move.

Rio Ferdinand and Jonny Evans, whilst doing their defensive duties reasonably well, arguably did not push up enough, inviting a large midfield space for Chelsea’s players to occupy, notably Juan Mata. This space was also left open for surging runs from the likes of Ramires from deeper in midfield. Michael Carrick and Tom Cleverley were notably tired towards the end of the game, and could not control such a large space between defence and attack against Chelsea’s plethora of midfield options. United’s deep defence certainly wasn’t a tactical approach that paid off against Chelsea.

Wing-play

United struggled out wide against Chelsea. Nani played well before his injury, and offered speed and trickery, particularly in counter-attacking situations. His replacement, Antonio Valencia, offered little however. Whilst clearly having a poor game, it would be unfair to wholly blame the Ecuadorian. A common theme this season from opposition teams has been to isolate Valencia and limit his options, something Chelsea did successfully after an initial good spell from the winger. United must look to exploit oppositions in the spaces they leave by squeezing out Valencia.

On the left-hand side United also struggled. Shinji Kagawa has shown his capability at floating inside and becoming an attacking threat, but his positioning was questionable against Chelsea. Several times, Kagawa’s ‘drifting’ had left spaces for Chelsea down his side. The little Japanese star perhaps needs more tactical discipline to become a regular viable option on the left side.

Going Forward

The highlights of this game were few and far between, but exhibited individual brilliance from Carrick, Ferdinand and de Gea was at times pleasing. United now have a week to rest and gather themselves for an assault on a domestic double. It appears that rest and the upcoming international break comes at a useful time as the players look exhausted from recent emotional and physical exerts.

Ratings

[4-2-3-1]: De Gea-8, Rafael-5, Ferdinand-8, Evans-6, Evra-6, Carrick-8*, Cleverley-5, Nani-7, Rooney-6, Kagawa-6, Hernandez-7

(Valencia-5, van Persie-6, Welbeck-6)

*Man of the match

Analysis: Manchester United 1 Real Madrid 2

Champions League, Tuesday 5^th March 2013

Manchester United suffered a galling defeat to Real Madrid in what was a titanic encounter at Old Trafford. United’s tactics appeared spot on, and they capitalised when Sergio Ramos inadvertently knocked the ball into his own net. An unjust red card on Nani however changed the game and two quick goals from Madrid settled the tie. Here’s some brief analytical thoughts on the match:

A trio of tactical phases

The game could be considered to have gone through three main tactical phases; one leading up to Nani’s 56^th minute red card, one in between the red card and Madrid’s second goal, and one from Madrid’s second goal until the end of the game.

Up until the red card, United held the upper hand. Danny Welbeck man-marked Xabi Alonso in order to cut off Madrid’s main supply line, and the team in Red defended stoutly as the Spanish champions failed to create any clear chances. United were mainly attacking on the counter, with Nani and Welbeck particularly important in running in behind the Madrid defence, with Robin van Persie holding up the ball and bringing others into play. This game-plan worked perfectly until the red card.

After the red card Jose Mourinho brought on Luka Modric into midfield, and the little Croat played more advanced and more creatively than Sami Khedira had previously in that position. Danny Welbeck moved out left, and suddenly Madrid were able to take full control of the midfield, and two goals resulted. One can only wonder if a Sir Alex Ferguson tactical reaction would have yielded any different results.

After Madrid took the lead, they then sat off and failed to take command of the game, thus United continued to create chances. The extra man for the Spanish side told however as the Red Devils could not win the ball back as quickly as they may have done with 11 men. For the last 20 minutes, United created and probed with great spirit, but eventually couldn’t find a way through.

1000 and still going

Ryan Giggs clocked up 1000 professional football appearances with his appearance against Real Madrid, and was United’s star of the show. The 39 year old showed unrelenting fitness and desire, defensive rigidity, and attacking flair. Giggs lasted the full game after 90 minutes of running, harassing, and intent. It was a truly remarkable performance from a truly remarkable player, and had United won the game it may have gone down in history. No-one can really know how long Giggs will play on for, but judging by his dynamic performance against Madrid, it could be a long while yet.

Going Forward

This was a game of many positives despite its overriding disappointment. Had it not been for Nani’s red card, United may well be celebrating one of the great European nights. The atmosphere inside Old Trafford was electric, and every single fan there deserves applauding. United’s players performed more than admirably on the pitch, with Giggs and Welbeck particularly standing out. Emerging from the ashes of a dramatic defeat, United will now look to get up and hunt down a domestic double, starting with an FA Cup quarter-final match at home to Chelsea this weekend.

Ratings

[4-2-3-1]: De Gea-8, Rafael-8, Ferdinand-7, Vidic-8, Evra-7, Carrick-7, Cleverley-7, Giggs-9*, Nani-7, Welbeck-9, van Persie-7

(Rooney-6, Young-6, Valencia-7)

*Man of the match

Analysis: Manchester United 4 Norwich City 0

Premier League, Saturday 2^nd March 2013

Manchester United saw off Norwich City with an eventually comfortable 4-0 victory on Saturday. Shinji Kagawa scored a hat-trick with a masterclass of superb timing and sublime finishing, before Wayne Rooney rounded off the game with a 25 yard ‘thronker’. Here is some analysis on the game:

Clean sheets

United have now kept four consecutive clean sheets in the league, and not conceded more than one goal in any match since 5^th January. There are arguably several reasons for this, some of which were witnessed against Norwich. Firstly, luck plays its part. In the early part of the season when United were conceding regularly, the goals were often different and not due to one single defensive factor. Recently though United appear to be getting more luck defensively, something that was evident as Norwich spurned two good chances, one early on with an over-hit cross, and one in the second half when the Canaries player spooned a good opportunity over the bar. Luck is always vital in top level football, and United are getting it defensively at the moment.

There are perhaps two more reasons for United’s increased defensive solidity. Firstly, the return of Nemanja Vidic has brought an aerial presence and organisational ability that has further secured the team, even despite the excellent performances of Rio Ferdinand and Jonny Evans. Secondly, better midfield displays have protected the back four more. The continuing excellence of Michael Carrick has shielded the defence, and the more frequent absence of the defensively-lacking Paul Scholes have certainly contributed to better defending. There are of course other reasons for United’s better defensive record in recent weeks too, and it can only be hoped that such a record continues.

A different kind of left wing

United’s tactical set-up against Norwich featured a common quirk that has been witnessed throughout this season and some of last: a flexible left winger. In contrast to the touchline-hugging Antonio Valencia on the right, the more flexible Shinji Kagawa, and later Danny Welbeck, played on the left. Both would look to cut inside often and join in to form a three man strikeforce. The ‘cutting inside’ of both players also allows one of United’s strikers to come wide in order to stretch and force the opposition defence out of position. This flexibility no doubt contributed to United’s goals against a stubborn Norwich defence. Interestingly, Kagawa’s first goal yesterday, and Danny Welbeck’s only Premier League goal this season, have both come when each player has come centrally from a left-sided position. No doubt the underrated excellence of Patrice Evra at left full-back helps to make such a flexible set-up possible.

Going Forward

Manchester United can be happy with again picking up three points and giving their goal difference a helping hand. Again, this was not a vintage performance, but not every game will be. The selection from Sir Alex Ferguson may give some indication to the team he will pick for Tuesday’s massive encounter with Real Madrid. One thing for sure though is that United will be going into that game in real form.

Ratings

[4-4-2]: De Gea-7, Smalling-6, Evans-7, Vidic-6, Evra-7, Valencia-7, Carrick-8*, Anderson-6, Kagawa-8, Rooney-7, van Persie-6

(Welbeck-7, Cleverley-6)

*Man of the match

Analysis: QPR 0 Manchester United 2

Premier League, Saturday 23^rd February 2013

Manchester United battled to a 2-0 victory against an uninspired QPR side at Loftus Road on Saturday. Rafael opened the scoring with a superb volley before Ryan Giggs finished masterfully late on to secure the three points. The win was hard-fought with plenty of pleasing aspects for United. Below is some brief analysis on the fixture:

A different Nani

Nani was one of United’s most impressive players against QPR with a mature performance. The Portuguese international is oft criticised for a disappointing final ball and poor decision-making, but both were dramatically improved on Saturday. Two examples of a good final ball from Nani were his first half cross that narrowly evaded Javier Hernandez, and his second half reverse-pass assist for Ryan Giggs’ goal. Perhaps more impressive though was Nani’s good choice of pass when around the area.

The 26 year old was initially deployed on the right hand side before a late switch to the left. When on the right he was certainly playing more narrowly than the touchline-hugging Antonio Valencia would, a useful tactic considering the tight pitch at Loftus Road. Nani would cause trouble by coming inside and becoming an extra central player, whilst Rafael made the right side his own with a man of the match performance. Good performances from Nani like in his last two games could see him play even more towards the end of the season, and will hopefully inspire him to sign a new contract.

Experience

Sir Alex Ferguson chose experienced players to face QPR, as United were forced to contend with a compact pitch and potentially intimidating atmosphere. Ryan Giggs, Rio Ferdinand and Nemanja Vidic were all included along with fellow experienced players Patrice Evra, Michael Carrick and Robin van Persie. The Red Devils coped with the challenge admirably, and the experienced guard did their job. Ferdinand and Vidic were imperious at the back, with Carrick in front of them providing a good defensive platform. Giggs pushed on further than Carrick in midfield, a strategy that reduces some of United’s possessional control of the game but offers an additional attacking threat. United did the basics well whilst the attacking players produced some spark, and the experience in the side guided the team all the way to another important three points.

Going Forward

United appear relentlessly focused as they hunt down a possible 20^th league title. The experience on show at QPR was a signal of the importance of winning a tough away fixture, whilst some individual performances from the likes of Nani and Rafael were particularly encouraging. The Reds now have a rare weeks rest before a run of four home games as they look to keep marching on.

Ratings

[4-4-2]: De Gea-7, Rafael-9*, Ferdinand-7, Vidic-7, Evra-6, Nani-7, Carrick-7, Giggs-7, Young-7, van Persie-7, Hernandez-7

(Welbeck-7, Rooney-6, Valencia-6)

*Man of the match